The Vice Presidential debate captured a large share of the week’s media attention, and Republican Mike Pence appears to have scored a virtual unanimous victory over Democrat Tim Kaine. Whether or not this will affect the presidential numbers remains to be seen.
Nine spot surveys were conducted during the period ending October 2-4, and Hillary Clinton’s aggregate national popular vote polling lead averaged 4.9 percentage points with a range of Clinton +9 (Fairleigh Dickinson University; 9/28-10/2; 385 likely voters) in a small-sample poll, to Trump +1 (Rasmussen Reports; 10/2-4; 1500 likely voters). The two continuous tracking polls, LA Times/ University of Southern California, and UPI/C-Voter, actually find Trump running ahead. LA Times/USC posts him to a 3.6% lead, while UPI projects a 2.5% Trump advantage.